Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.418633 0.494960 0.580022 0.681669 0.799648 0.932080 1.091814
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.330543 0.431819 0.555207 0.715909 0.918927 1.166057 1.488783
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.287315 0.410604 0.573251 0.801801 1.112650 1.518364 2.085260
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.229030 0.357053 0.539372 0.814758 1.216223 1.775307 2.606717
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.193655 0.327428 0.531924 0.861960 1.374351 2.130688 3.319565
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.163475 0.298722 0.519870 0.899736 1.525119 2.499222 4.110210
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.134329 0.264802 0.492539 0.907872 1.630914 2.815746 4.870784
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.111485 0.236383 0.468404 0.916223 1.737731 3.148966 5.706758
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.097562 0.221339 0.464875 0.959931 1.912278 3.619302 6.837417
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.092421 0.222737 0.492553 1.066675 2.217992 4.359308 8.535895
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.081609 0.209326 0.487956 1.109064 2.408066 4.915427 9.975243
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.068323 0.186863 0.459691 1.097314 2.488638 5.276082 11.095404
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.054619 0.160117 0.417299 1.049443 2.492172 5.498077 12.000535
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044289 0.138987 0.383147 1.013288 2.514836 5.762456 13.028911
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.040147 0.133586 0.386305 1.066086 2.745874 6.494572 15.121537
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.033084 0.117545 0.358483 1.036925 2.781713 6.811061 16.372232
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.029247 0.110184 0.352257 1.061984 2.952292 7.449995 18.410166
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.025807 0.103026 0.344967 1.082842 3.116111 8.095579 20.544369
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.022049 0.093505 0.328424 1.074564 3.203426 8.572439 22.348221
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.019009 0.085511 0.314615 1.071380 3.303933 9.094782 24.324825
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.017349 0.082258 0.315321 1.112195 3.532894 9.967349 27.257524
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.017255 0.085363 0.338183 1.226799 3.989839 11.478311 31.945643
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.015794 0.082182 0.338518 1.269289 4.243658 12.490079 35.480199